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Senin, 14 November 2016

Ebook Free Energy and Civilization: A History

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This is one of those books which should be widely read; a concise explanation of “energy” as relates to society beginning with terms and definitions which most people do not consider. Smil starts with the obvious (but often overlooked) statement that we on earth have no source of energy which is not provided by the sun in some form or another.From there, we start with the calculations regarding the number of calories any human needs to get through the day; pretty basic and clearly explained values.This is followed by the overall history of energy in human society, beginning with foraging and scavenging societies, using human muscle energy in more effective forms as a result of human reasoning; tools. Accompanied by (largely effective) sidebar notes, the narrative then progresses through the use of draft and ridden animal muscle, direct water and wind power, and then on to the use of ‘stored’ solar energy in the form of carbon and radioactive fuels, to the present. The fragility of society prior to modern use of those ‘stored’ sources is eye-opening and should serve as a corrective to anyone hoping to return to some romantic, pristine, autarky.I’m sure this was not intended for the general audience; the terminology and notation suggests and requires a certain level of education. But at times Smil seems to change units of measure in what looks a bit of braggadocio. Joules, calories, watts, any will do, but switching back and forth requires mental gymnastics and introduces the chance of errors; there is no reason to make a book less understandable than the transfer of information requires.Similarly, there is no reason for the pedantry regarding the phrase “Industrial Revolution”; I recall no one using the phrase to mean a ‘revolution’ in X years. As it was intended to mean a rapid change in many social arrangements, it was just that and is a useful shorthand for that phenomenon.Disregarding such caviling, we are, at well-researched and well-argued length, presented with the uncontroversial fact that we are consuming carbon energy resources far beyond replacement rates and that use is resulting in environmental problems which could be very serious. Fortunately, the author is not given to hyperbole; those environmental problems are neither certain in time or severity.But as Smil makes clear, there are really few alternatives. Our recent fantasies regarding wind or solar are never going to provide the energy surplus we currently enjoy, even if we had 100% battery storage technology. There is simply not enough ‘instant’ solar energy available to support the style to which we have become accustomed and others hope to achieve.Citing some studies regarding ‘happiness’ vs wealth which I find far from convincing, the author seems to come down on the side of drastically reduced energy consumption. He never suggests coercion to achieve that end, but it’s doubtful that those who are used to luxury and those who quest for it are likely to voluntarily reduce that standard of living or the desire for it, regardless of Smil’s personal (righteous!) choice of a 1Kw automobile.Begging to differ, I come down on the ‘let’s develop non-carbon energy’ side; nuclear. And if we are to prevent those possible environmental problems, we’d better get going on developing safe nuclear energy right now, rather than whingeing about the morality of Exon’s profit margin.

I purchased this book based on a recommendation by Bill Gates. It's very interesting and takes you through the history of how humans have used and transformed energy and how that increasingly efficient energy use has advanced societies (and where it hasn't).Be aware that it is very technically dense with a lot of specifics and almost reads like a textbook so it's not what I would call a "light read" but if you like that sort of thing than this book is recommended.

I am only 70% through the book, knowing that the rest will touch upon the noton that our dependence on a very high consumption of energy based on fossil fuels is unsustainable and that renewables gives only some comfort to this conclusion. As an economist I truly which that this perspective was more commonly available through education, as the available energy influcence on economic wealth and especially a long term perspective on this is severly overlooked in todays financial world.So thumbs up, 5 stars, is given to the author for puting the whole energy history in context, and how vital it is to appreciate our fossil fuel workhorses for now and it also led to my appreciation that we can use the energy surplus as today to prepare for a sustainable future of tomorrow. Even with less energy, it is possible to sustain a civilisation based on "energy helpers" so that living standards are still acceptable. The calculations back and forth when it comes to Joules/tons/kwh (or even barrels) is very useful for engaging the mind outside speed reading. An eye opener for me was the 90% energy conversion for electricity for kinetic energy as opposed to 40% for diesel and 25% for gasoline. Going electric for personal transportation based on renewables really makes sense overall!

Truly fascinating. It is hard to describe how impressive this masterful history is. A summation of a world of knowledge in a thorough, understandable, and context-rich book. Required reading for anyone interested in energy, sustainability, and the future of humanity.

Based on my previous Vaclav Smil reading, I was expecting (hoping) for more of a big-picture technical survey (along the line of "the physics of building and maintaining civilizations"). I was somewhat disappointed to discover a conventional historical narrative of the discovery and exploitation of the various familiar energy sources. Admittedly, more a case of missed expectations rather than any specific shortcoming of the book.

I was really disappointed in this book. It’s a history and is full of facts that seem almost randomly addressed. There is a lot of interesting information, but none of it seems to have a point , it’s just a collection of data. The citations are probably important to someone, but to a non academic they are just irritating and disrupt the flow of the text. I found Richard Rhodes’ book Energy:a human history much more informative and much much more entertaining.

As a mechanical engineer, I was taught a lot about energy and worked with it my whole career. I've always loved history as well. Now, I read a book that traces the human story along with the thread of how energy is found, grown, used, eaten, wasted...all that...and really dominates society in so many ways. This is a book long on detail so some may feel overwhelmed by it. My favorite part was the last 20% where the author appears to summarize the influence of energy on all the major domains of civilization. A book that I am keeping for reference and rereading.

Vaclav Smil’s books are always enjoyable. He demonstrates that the material civilisation that we have is the result of people acquiring the means of energy production. Yet he is also aware that energy is not the only thing that matters - it matters much, but the way it is used also depends on the culture and society.

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Sabtu, 05 November 2016

Free Download The Undertaking: Life Studies from the Dismal Trade

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A Poet’s Take on Life, Death, And Everything in BetweenThe Undertaking: Life Studies From the Dismal Trade by Thomas Lynch. W.W. Norton & Company 1997 $13.95.“This is none of my business”, Thomas Lynch proclaims about his funeral, and yet, it is his: funeral director, mortician, undertaker, poet. Mr. Lynch is an Irish poet who here presents a dozen essays about his stock in trade, deftly weaving together anecdotes of the dead with funeral conventions and all manner of his profession.These essays are more lyric than memoir, and Mr. Lynch’s background in poetry shines through in all of them. In one, the reader is reminded, or perhaps the author is reminding himself, that “the dead don’t care” whether their bodies are cremated, buried, scattered, or left to science. Another essay targets the author’s upbringing with an overprotective, mortician father who sees death lingering around every corner. It is only when the author becomes both a father and funeral director himself that he sees the wisdom of his late father’s intense scrutiny.If there is any fault in these reflections, it is that the author tends to go on at length, over the course of several essays, about re-connecting with his Irish roots. Visiting family overseas turns him to introspection about both the country of Ireland and his Catholic rearing. Lynch draws interesting parallels between the plumbing and funeral business and man’s return to the natural world. In so doing, he also relates a succinct history of the death industry, but still manages to wax nostalgic and poetic for the way things were.No aspect of life, or death, is left unmentioned in this tome. The book starts off endearingly with the author’s own immature views of undertaking as a child: “And I wondered why it wasn’t underputter—you know, for the one who puts them underground.” Lynch meanders through the embalming process, obsesses about the positioning of a body, discusses Dr. Kevorkian’s method of self-euthanasia, love, sex, grief, and divorce. In one amusing essay Lynch ponders the possibilities of a combination golf course and cemetery, and the semantics of such a scheme. Another essay finds the author wandering the streets of his small town in Michigan, musing on local celebrities and their influence in getting a new town bridge built. Uncle Eddie is the star of yet another essay wherein he starts a crime scene clean-up business while Lynch relates his own experiences in the matter.Some essay topics may be too delicate a subject for certain readers, such as when Lynch examines the issue of children’s funerals and purchases of child-sized coffins of pink or blue. About dispensing advice for consumers, or even his own final preparations, the author appeals to the average person’s emotions: “Whatever’s there to feel, feel it—the riddance, the relief, the fright, and freedom, the fear of forgetting, the dull ache of your own mortality…you’ll know what to do. Go now, I think you are ready.”

I enjoyed every moment of this book of essays by Thomas Lynch, who is not only a small-town undertaker but a published poet. Some of the essays concern practical issues related to the tending of the dead and their families, and some are lyrical and ruminative about our existence and the extinguishing of it. But all are well worth reading and pondering. There is discussion of the preparation of the body for the funeral home 'visitation,' caskets, cremation, expenses - as well as the grief suffered by family and friends, assisted suicide, societal norms for dealing with death. And in the midst of all this seriousness, there is irony and humor. We should all have a Thomas Lynch in our lives when the time comes that his services are needed.

A poet and and undertaker ... yeah. If you ever wanted to know what an undertaker things about absolutely everything, this is the book for you. He's a little cynical, even for me. He and I have very different opinions of Jack Kevorkian. (And we're both positive we're right.) Otherwise, an interesting read. He's based in Michigan and spends time in Ireland.

The Undertaking is a series of essays by Thomas Lynch, a man whose twin trades, unusual enough in themselves, and more so in combination, make him particularly suited to write on the themes of the book: he is both a poet and an undertaker. In the book Lynch writes about his day job--not the gory bits of the business, but about what it's like to care for the dead in the small town of Milford, Michigan, where very often he's burying someone with whom he's had a history in life:"After my housekeeper was installed, I went to thank Milo and pay the bill. The invoices detailed the number of loads, the washers and the dryers, detergent, bleaches, fabric softeners. I think the total came to sixty dollars. When I asked Milo what the charges were for pick-up and delivery, for stacking and folding and sorting by size, for saving my life and the lives of my children, for keeping us in clean clothes and towels and bed linen, 'Never mind that' is what Milo said. 'One hand washes the other.'"I place Milo's right hand over his left hand, then try the other way. Then back again. Then I decide that it doesn't matter. One hand washes the other either way."Lynch's specific recollections--about suicides he's known and cleaned up after, about embalming his own father--serve as entree to larger discussions--the function of funerals, the problem of assisted suicide, or, in a heart-breaking chapter, how we grow into the fear of parenting. The dark possibilities that haunt the rest of us are more real for an undertaker:"And as my children grew, so too the bodies of dead boys and girls I was called upon to bury--infants becoming toddlers, toddlers becoming school children, children becoming adolescents, then teens, then young adults, whose parents I would know from the Little League or Brownies or PTA or Rotary or Chamber of Commerce. Because I would not keep in stock an inventory of children's caskets, I'd order them, as the need arose, in sizes and half sizes from two foot to five foot six, often estimating the size of a dead child, not yet released from the county morgue, by the sizes of my own children, safe and thriving and alive. And the caskets I ordered were invariably 'purity and gold' with angels on the corners and shirred crepe interiors or powdery pink or baby blue. And I would never charge more than the wholesale cost of the casket and throw in our services free of charge with the hope in my heart that God would, in turn, spare me the hollowing grief of these parents."The book is beautifully written throughout, and thoughtful, and despite all that I've said above the author comes across as a man fully alive, who appreciates life but understands death, as a man worth knowing. At any rate, his book is very much worth reading.-- Debra Hamel

With 128 reviews already I don't suppose we need another one. But the subject is of interest to me, & so I gave it a 3 for that reason. But like other reviewers, I find it full of unnecessary philosophizing, mental meanderings, and off topic musings. This, because the author is a poet. And, I have found that people in this profession who have written about it seem a little cynical about their work, which I suppose is to be expected because it is the dismal trade.

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Rabu, 02 November 2016

Download Mixed Effects Models and Extensions in Ecology with R (Statistics for Biology and Health)By Alain Zuur, Elena N. Ieno, Neil Walker, Anat

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Mixed Effects Models and Extensions in Ecology with R (Statistics for Biology and Health)By Alain Zuur, Elena N. Ieno, Neil Walker, Anat

Mixed Effects Models and Extensions in Ecology with R (Statistics for Biology and Health)By Alain Zuur, Elena N. Ieno, Neil Walker, Anat


Mixed Effects Models and Extensions in Ecology with R (Statistics for Biology and Health)By Alain Zuur, Elena N. Ieno, Neil Walker, Anat


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Mixed Effects Models and Extensions in Ecology with R (Statistics for Biology and Health)By Alain Zuur, Elena N. Ieno, Neil Walker, Anat

This book discusses advanced statistical methods that can be used to analyse ecological data. Most environmental collected data are measured repeatedly over time, or space and this requires the use of GLMM or GAMM methods. The book starts by revising regression, additive modelling, GAM and GLM, and then discusses dealing with spatial or temporal dependencies and nested data.

  • Sales Rank: #1217197 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2009-03-05
  • Released on: 2009-03-05
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review

From the reviews:

"For many people dealing with statistics is like jumping into ice-cold water. This metaphor is depicted by the cover of this book … . full of excellent example code and for most graphs and analyses the code is printed and explained in detail. … Each example finishes with … valuable information for a person new to a technique. In summary, I highly recommend the book to anyone who is familiar with basic statistics … who wants to expand his/her statistical knowledge to analyse ecological data." (Bernd Gruber, Basic and Applied Ecology, Vol. 10, 2009)

"This book is written in a very approachable conversational style. The additional focus on the heuristics of the process rather than just a rote recital of theory and equations is commendable. This type of approach helps the reader get behind the ‘why’ of what’s being done rather than blindly follow a simple list of rules.… In short, this text is good for researchers with at least a little familiarity with the basic concepts of modeling and who want some solid stop-by-stop guidance with examples on how common ecological modeling tasks are accomplished using R." (Aaron Christ, Journal of Statistical Software, November 2009, Vol. 32)

"The authors succeed in explaining complex extensions of regression in largely nonmathematical terms and clearly present appropriate R code for each analysis. A major strength of the text is that instead of relying on idealized datasets … the authors use data from consulting projects or dissertation research to expose issues associated with ‘real’ data. … The book is well written and accessible … . the volume should be a useful reference for advanced graduate students, postdoctoral researchers, and experienced professionals working in the biological sciences." (Paul E. Bourdeau, The Quarterly Review of Biology, Vol. 84, December, 2009)

“This is a companion volume to Analyzing Ecology Data by the same authors. …It extends the previous work by looking at more complex general and generalized linear models involving mixed effects or heterogeneity in variances. It is aimed at statistically sophisticated readers who have a good understanding of multiple regression models… .The pedagogical style is informal… . The authors are pragmatists―they use combinations of informal graphical approaches, formal hypothesis  testing, and information-theoretical model selection methods  when analyzing data. …Advanced graduate students in ecology or ecologists with several years of experience with ‘messy’ data would find this book useful. …Statisticians would find this book interesting for the nice explorations of many of the issues with messy data. This book would be (very) suitable for a graduate course on statistical consulting―indeed, students would learn a great deal about the use of sophisticated statistical models in ecology! …I very much liked this book (and also the previous volume). I enjoyed the nontechnical presentations of the complex ideas and their emphasis that a good analysis uses ‘simple statistical methods wherever possible, but doesn’t use them simplistically.’” (Biometrics, Summer 2009, 65, 992–993)

“This book is a great introduction to a wide variety of regression models. … This text examines how to fit many alternative models using the statistical package R. … The text is a valuable reference … . A large number of real datasets are used as examples. Discussion on which model to use and the large number of recent references make the book useful for self study … .” (David J. Olive, Technometrics, Vol. 52 (4), November, 2010)

From the Back Cover

Building on the successful Analysing Ecological Data (2007) by Zuur, Ieno and Smith, the authors now provide an expanded introduction to using regression and its extensions in analysing ecological data. As with the earlier book, real data sets from postgraduate ecological studies or research projects are used throughout. The first part of the book is a largely non-mathematical introduction to linear mixed effects modelling, GLM and GAM, zero inflated models, GEE, GLMM and GAMM. The second part provides ten case studies that range from koalas to deep sea research. These chapters provide an invaluable insight into analysing complex ecological datasets, including comparisons of different approaches to the same problem. By matching ecological questions and data structure to a case study, these chapters provide an excellent starting point to analysing your own data. Data and R code from all chapters are available from www.highstat.com.

Alain F. Zuur is senior statistician and director of Highland Statistics Ltd., a statistical consultancy company based in the UK. He has taught statistics to more than 5000 ecologists. He is honorary research fellow in the School of Biological Sciences, Oceanlab, at the University of Aberdeen, UK.

Elena N. Ieno is senior marine biologist and co-director at Highland Statistics Ltd. She has been involved in guiding PhD students on the design and analysis of ecological data. She is honorary research fellow in the School of Biological Sciences, Oceanlab, at the University of Aberdeen, UK.

Neil J. Walker works as biostatistician for the Central Science Laboratory (an executive agency of DEFRA) and is based at the Woodchester Park research unit in Gloucestershire, South-West England. His work involves him in a number of environmental and wildlife biology projects.

Anatoly A. Saveliev is a professor at the Geography and Ecology Faculty at Kazan State University, Russian Federation, where he teaches GIS and statistics. He also provides consultancy in statistics, GIS & Remote Sensing, spatial modelling and software development in these areas.

Graham M. Smith is a director of AEVRM Ltd, an environmental consultancy in the UK and the course director for the MSc in ecological impact assessment at Bath Spa University in the UK.

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Mixed Effects Models and Extensions in Ecology with R (Statistics for Biology and Health)By Alain Zuur, Elena N. Ieno, Neil Walker, Anat PDF

Mixed Effects Models and Extensions in Ecology with R (Statistics for Biology and Health)By Alain Zuur, Elena N. Ieno, Neil Walker, Anat PDF

Mixed Effects Models and Extensions in Ecology with R (Statistics for Biology and Health)By Alain Zuur, Elena N. Ieno, Neil Walker, Anat PDF
Mixed Effects Models and Extensions in Ecology with R (Statistics for Biology and Health)By Alain Zuur, Elena N. Ieno, Neil Walker, Anat PDF